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Attracting Greater Foreign Investments
In an interview Iran’s Minister of Petroleum, Vaziri
Hamaneh, emphasized the openness of the petroleum sector in attracting foreign
investments. He also highlighted the capacity of the Ministry in assessing the
value and potential of proposed plans.
Mr. Minister, is it true that Iran’s contracts with Shell
and Repsol were only formalities?
It would not be logical for these companies to announce
such contracts had they been mere formalities since they are both active
within the international arena and doing so would have damaged their standing.
They have announced that they are not under U.S. pressure and even if they
were, they would decide on the contracts according to their own
self-interests. Experience shows that Iranian projects are attractive and
therefore an oil institution would not miss such opportunities. The announced
contracts are the result of 1.5 to 2 years of talks that precede my tenure in
office. They have been signed and I am sure the companies are very eager to
cooperate with Iran.
Based on the D’Amato Law, foreign companies are not allowed
to invest more than 20 million dollars in Iran. These oil companies are
economic institutions and surely benefit from participation in the four
billion dollar contract. Nevertheless, you have not amended the buyback
contracts on regarding phases 13 and 14 of South Pars fields yet. How will
these companies evade pressure imposed by the? Have you granted them certain
concessions?
We have not given and will not grant any concessions to any
company. Iran’s oil and gas projects are very economical and there is no need
to do that. The contracts with Shell and Repsol were signed according to new
terms and conditions. The amended articles of the buyback contracts are put
into consideration within the ratification of the Economic Council.
According to the previous version of the contract, the
companies first offered a fixed price and later put the different parts of the
project out into tender. But during the operations, they faced the growing
prices of products and equipment and consequently the majority of them
announced they have incurred losses because fluctuations in oil prices caused
an increase in the price of equipment and the cost of operations.
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Foreign companies are keen to
participate in exploitation operations and to be a partner in
production, but the law prevents us from sharing the reserves with any
party. |
Based on the new version of the contract, Iran will
accompany the contracting companies and contractors during the implementation
of the project. In other words, all parts of the agreement will be put under
the management of the main operator and the cost of the contract will be drawn
up in collaboration with the employer, Ministry of Petroleum. If the price of
the required equipment is beyond the rate the two sides have predicted in the
contract, the Ministry of Petroleum will compensate for some part of the extra
expenditure in order to make the contract less expensive for them. Meaning,
the new version of the contract has considerably reduced the risk for
contractors or operators, while improving their motivation to get active.
Buyback contracts have been censured by both domestic
experts and foreign companies, with Iranians arguing that the contracts fail
to protect the reserves. Your former deputy, Mr. Nejad-Hosseinian, had
promised to lengthen the presence of foreign parties with the aim of
increasing their motivation. Were you able to accomplish that?
No. Foreign companies are keen to participate in
exploitation operations and to be a partner in production, but the law
prevents us from sharing the reserves with any party. However, we are
outlining a plan that would allow the companies to cooperate as consultants
during the production process. The companies and the National Iranian Oil
Company (NIOC) welcome this idea.
The initiative, however, has yet to be included in the
newly amended buyback contracts. In the beginning of the development plan, the
companies present their plans and leave the field after the development, when
production stabilizes. Although the companies are not allowed to share the
reserves, they have voiced their willingness to work as consultants to gain
experience in the production process. Moreover, this allows consultants to
study the production mechanism and to offer their proposals which the NIOC
will put to effect if they are deemed positive.
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We have planned to boost production
by 5.2 million barrels throughout the Fourth Development Plan period
(2005-2009), but the projects are in dire need of investment. |
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Some say that puts forth another problem; namely that the
companies boost production in order to shorten the capital turnover which can
damage the field. How do you settle such a problem?
That is not correct and those who are involved in the
process do not think so. The companies offer their master development plan (MDP)
and the Petroleum Ministry has the final say. This might have been the case in
the past when we lacked the necessary equipment, but now we are the decision
makers and we give the green light to proposals.
Some may also contend that since foreign companies have
better knowledge, the Ministry of Petroleum has no alternative but to agree to
their project proposals. What is your opinion on this?
I do not agree with such a statement. I think we have made
good progress in areas such as reverse-engineering and geology and we do not
necessarily accept foreign proposal without consideration. Moreover, we have a
high number of college graduates, even at the Ph.D. level, and we have also
dispatched a great number of students abroad. Our universities are teaching
the fields, helping the country manage and carry out oil projects. So, we
would not agree to project proposals blindly.
What is the volume of oil production decrease per year?
The volume drop is between 240 to 250 thousand barrels. But
we are implementing development plans and compensating for the shortage every
year.
Many experts believe that the country needs to drill six
thousand wells to safeguard the current oil production for the coming decade.
Do you agree?
Experts have their own ideas, while the Ministry of
Petroleum is implementing its own policy. We compensated for the drop in oil
production this year without developing any new field and even boosted
production by 50 thousand barrels. The capacity of oil production in Iran is
high and we have drawn up plans to make up for the fall in production. The
NIOC drills 240 wells every year, some of which help increase production and
some help explore and produce gas.
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We have
outlined plans for all joint and border fields. The tenders of the last
six phases of South Pars field are being prepared and the contracts of
some phases are being inked. No project is out of plan.
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How many wells are active right now?
There are nearly 1,600 that are regularly undergoing
reparation and injection operations. In the past year we injected 80 million
cubic meters of gas into the reserves per day and the figure will be doubled
next year and will reach 350 million cubic meters within the next ten years.
So, oil production will increase.
What do you think will be our level of production by the
end of the Fourth Development Plan? Will you be obliged to raise output by a
certain volume?
Naturally we are. We have planned to boost production by
5.2 million barrels throughout the Fourth Development Plan period (2005-2009),
but the projects are in dire need of investment.
Roughly speaking, what is the needed amount?
We are going to add one million barrels to the current
production process; this will require 12 billion dollars.
$12 billion for producing an extra one million barrels per
day?
Yes.
Is it possible to achieve this goal?
It is difficult to add such a volume, but the goal is
important and the required investment needs to be made. In the meantime, we
have the onshore fields of Azadegan, Yadavaran, North Azadegan, Jofair, and
Darkhoein and the offshore fields of Ressalat and Reshadat that would
gradually enter into production until that time.
What is the coefficient for the re-production cycle?
Nearly, 26 percent on average. The re-production process is
done at a certain time.
Have you signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with
China regarding investment in North Pars?
I accompanied the President during his visit to China and
met with the Chinese Development and Planning Minister. He voiced Beijing’s
eagerness to cooperate with Iran in the development of the different South
Pars phases. But, we proposed other fields for their consideration, as we were
negotiating with other companies on the SP at that time. After a while the
Chinese offshore industries company, SINOC, relying on its own study on the
North Pars field proposed to work on the field and we agreed. The project with
SINOC is the largest Chinese project and we are now talking regarding the
difficulties. The Chinese will invest 16 billion dollars and produce liquefied
natural gas (LNG) in collaboration with the Pars Oil and Gas Company (POGS).
Negotiations are going well so far and we hope the contract will completed
soon.
There have been a number of high risk projects undertaken
before. Don’t you think such high risk fields have made the country pay for
not seriously following up the development of joint fields? How do you justify
the contract you signed with Norway on Garmsar field?
We have not ignored any field for the sake of another. I
don’t believe it’s fair to take this kind of approach. We have outlined plans
for all joint and border fields. The tenders of the last six phases of South
Pars field are being prepared and the contracts of some phases are being
inked. No project is out of plan.
We have to work on central fields, as well. It is not
sensible to turn a blind eye to domestic potentials. Foreigners are also eager
and therefore we have to hire overseas companies and develop these fields.
Is it justified to say that the negotiations are too
lengthy and unjustifiable for achieving the objectives targeted by the Fourth
Development Plan?
I suggest you step in and handle the negotiations, may be
then we would reach an agreement sooner! I don’t think there has been any
delay at all. Such long-term projects require extended negotiations.
The negative balance of gas has been a headache in the
recent years. Every winter there is talk about a possible cutoff in gas supply
and the people are urged to reduce consumption, while gas has not been stored
yet. How does the Ministry of Petroleum justify the failure to balance
production and consumption?
Gas consumption is rapidly growing in the country. The
Ministry of Petroleum is producing enough gas to meet domestic demand. But at
certain times of the winter season, consumption goes beyond expectation and
the Ministry of Petroleum does not necessarily produce according to increasing
wintertime consumption, or an unexpected consumption peak.
Such high production demands huge investment and such a big
investment would work for just two months of the year and would be wasted for
the remaining time of the year. So, it is wise to avoid such an investment. We
have to make the balance by formulating other strategies, including the
development of a culture of consumption.
It seems that whenever you face gas shortages, you
immediately stop supplying the power plants with fuel. According to statistics
released by the National Iranian Gas Company (NIGC), the power plants’ liquid
fuel consumption amounted to eight billion dollars. The figure is referred to
as covert damage. What is your solution?
We are responsible for supplying the power plants with
fuel, but other organizations must fulfill their obligations, too. At present,
the power plants are working at 30 percent of their capacities. It means they
transform 30 percent of gas into electricity. Shouldn’t the Ministry of Energy
move towards the construction of combined cycle power plants with high output?
The Ministry of Petroleum is not to blame for all the problems of a system as
it by itself is not able to solve all the difficulties. Still, it is not
possible for a ministry to make such a huge investment.
It seems that this problem is chronic. Why hasn’t the
Ministry of Petroleum prepared any gas balance?
We have recently prepared the gas balance that predicts the
plan for the next 20 years and has been approved by the Management and
Planning Organization (MPO). The volume of production, consumption
(commercial, household, and power plant), and exports has been included in
that balance.
Why hasn’t this been publicized sooner?
Because we are not obliged to make all our plans public;
the MPO has been informed and the plan should be updated every year as
possible delays could postpone it.
Do you think the plan on gas exports is in conformity with
the realities of the country’s oil industry? Do you have the necessary
infrastructures for it?
All objectives of the plan have been targeted logically.
The shares of production, consumption, and export have been discussed
separately and the implementation of each part would not obstruct the other
section. We have the capacity to have a strong presence in the gas market and
we must be among the main players in the international gas scene.
The idea of creating an organization such as OPEC for gas has been given
wide coverage worldwide. What will be its advantages if its established?
There is an assembly called Gas Exporters Assembly that
comprises Russia, Qatar, Egypt, and Trinidad & Tobago. The assembly started
work in 2000 and has organized some sessions every year. Qatar is to host the
next session in May. The idea of an OPEC-style gas organization will be
discussed by the assembly members in Qatar. Since its establishment, some
countries have not cooperated well, but they are gradually being cooperative.
Westerners think we are going to set up a cartel like OPEC while OPEC is not a
cartel.
The main objective behind the OPEC-style gas body is to
make decisions on production, development of fields, transfer of technology,
and exploration of avenues for research that could result in scores of
advantages for the producers and consumers.
The main consumers are also encouraged to make investments.
Some say such an organization would not be able to set a
fixed price for the commodity in the international market day by day. What is
you opinion?
Yes, they are right. But it does not mean that we cannot
establish an organization with an independent secretary general setting common
policies. We could have joint ventures and guarantee their enforcement.
What are your main concerns today that could not be
alleviated without establishing a gas version of OPEC?
If such an organization is set up, the market presence
would shift into cooperative from competitive. At present, every country is
thinking of its own interests. But in that case, the interests of all gas
exporting states would be taken into consideration. Meanwhile, the projects on
production, conversion, and transfer of gas at international level will become
more practical and seek certain goals and above all the market will be
stabilized.
What is the fate of gas exports to Europe?
It depends on investment. We are formulating plans for
2012.
What will be the volume?
It is not clear yet; it depends on the volume of
production.
How much has Turkey proposed for the transit fee?
It has not been discussed yet.
Do you have any problems with Turkey in this regard?
We don’t have any problems with Turkey. They have their own
policies and we need to hold more talks. There are legal procedures that need
to be completed as well regarding the protection of pipelines going through
Turkish soil.
Will the goals of the export-bound petrochemical products
be achieved?
We have exported 5.6 million tons of petrochemicals in the
current Iranian year (started March 21, 2006), fetching the country three
billion dollars. But we have to wait for the output of petrochemical units.
Then, the production volume is not clear at this stage?
It is better to announce it after the units reach
production stage.
A number of complexes have been waiting for the final stage
for a long time. When will they start production?
One petrochemical complex will start production every two
months as of the next year (to start March 21, 2007). There are 33
petrochemical units which will help boost production and exports.
The Bakhtar petrochemical project has reportedly failed to
attract finance and seems not to be economical either. What is your opinion on
this?
The private sector is due to handle the project. The
Petroleum Ministry is not involved in this project too much. But there is no
problem in regards to the finance issue either. There are six petrochemical
projects in the way of West Ethylene pipeline three of which have been
financed by the Mine & Industry Bank from the Oil Stabilization Fund. The
project has been formulated in a way the private sector would own the biggest
share in it. The Petroleum Ministry cannot act with open hands but the project
is economical and would create many job opportunities. |