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Financial Scheming for the Industrial Sector |
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Developing states can pave the way for development process
through reliance on large-scale policies and availing of legal protections
combined with reasonable decisions. |
Recently, Sharif University of
Technology held a conference on international finance of infrastructural
projects in Iran. During the inaugural ceremony, Dr. Sohrabpour, Chancellor of
Sharif University of Technology, noted that industrial and technological
development alone cannot guarantee Iran’s future progress. He called
sustainable development as the most important pillar for achieving economic
development. "Sustainable growth and development is a characteristic of
industrial countries. Developing states can pave the way for development
process through reliance on large-scale policies and availing of legal
protections combined with reasonable decisions. They can help development of
their countries through presenting suitable solutions," he added.
Sohrabpour further noted that the
procurement of capital for financing industrial and infrastructural projects
is an effective factor for the economic development of countries. He pointed
out that "in fact, the most important and effective way for the realization of
long-term economic goals and achieving high levels of growth and development
is the existence of a capable economic structure along with an active and
healthy financial market." He also added that "given widespread poverty and a
low savings rate in most developing countries, domestic resources of those
countries are not sufficient to realize high economic growth rates. For this
reason, most of those countries have to make up for capital deficiency through
foreign sources and this is the main factor that prompts those countries to
attract international investments."
The Chancellor also stated that a fluid
and active flow of capital is one of the most important features of economic
globalization. The forces of globalization have allowed capital to flow within
markets and that "fluid flow has paved the way for a lot of economic
developments in many countries, thus, leading to dynamism of the world
capitalism."
Today, most of the projects under way
within the country are infrastructural in nature. Thus, achieving the
objectives of the 20-Year Perspective Plan and the five-year development plans
is the "attraction of necessary financial resources for infrastructural
investments," since securing capital, especially for infrastructural projects,
"can influence management and profitability of such projects." Pointing out
this issue, the Chancellor mentioned that "identifying various methods of
domestic and international finance and financial analysis of infrastructural
projects is of paramount importance."
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Tahmaseb Mazaheri,
Former Minister of Finance and Economic Affairs |
Privatization of
Markets Related to Infrastructures:
The managing director of the Export
Development Bank of Iran was another speaker at the inauguration ceremony of
the conference and mentioned that "at present, we are ahead of the Fourth
Economic Development Plan in terms of foreign exchange revenues resulting from
non-oil exports and agriculture but lag behind in terms of other economic
indexes." Tahmasb Mazaheri added: "We have not been able to achieve the goals
of the Fourth Economic Development Plan in real economic sectors such as
investment, growth of gross domestic product and the ratio of investment to
production. We must think of new ways and policies to goad the growth of such
economic sectors whose policies and approaches mostly pertain to the
infrastructures and we are planning to privatize those sectors."
The managing director stated that
privatization in those sectors requires sufficient capital and one of the best
ways to attract capital is to take advantage of foreign financial resources
and investments. He also highlighted a number of positive characteristics that
make Iran an attractive market for foreign investment. Such reasons include a
relatively "inexpensive and young manpower, a large population of university
graduates, valuable underground reserves, a 70-million-strong demand market,
special regional and international political position as well as geographic
and economic conditions." Moreover, recent legislative measures, including a
new interpretation of economic policies enshrined in Article 44 of the
constitution and the notification of Clause C of that article has provided the
necessary framework for the attraction of foreign investors in the country.
Mazaheri also delineated a number of
prerequisites for the attraction of foreign investments to Iran, including the
procurement of capital resources and technical know-how as well as promoting
skills and encouraging scientific management to get a higher share of the
market. "Privatization will catalyze economic processes and facilitate the
achievement of macroeconomic objectives. The major positive development
regarding privatization in the country is that privatization is no more a
means of increasing the government’s earning." While that outlook had hindered
previous privatization efforts, a new approach to privatization will hopefully
"clear the way for further progress of this process in the country."
One of the issues that should be taken
into consideration in the course of privatization is that privatization should
begin in the market especially ones that are controlled by the government.
Starting privatization by transferring state-run companies is not a good idea.
Moreover, the privatization of markets is the best way for the privatization
of pricing mechanism, production cycle, sales, and exports. This principle
relates more to the privatization of infrastructural sectors, Mazaheri pointed
out.
In another part of this speech, Mazaheri
remarked that the government will invest more than 95 billion dollars in the
energy sector by 2020. "It has been predicted that new investments over the
next 15 years should amount to 40 billion dollars in the oil sector, 46
billion dollars in the gas sector, 20 billion dollars in petrochemicals
sector, and 25 billion dollars in power generation. Since the government is
not capable of making such hefty investments, we have no choice but to rely on
foreign finance."
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Akbar Torkan,
Managing Director of South Pars Company |
Oil Industry
Development Bank:
In another section of the
conference, the managing director of Pars Oil and Gas Company told
participants that the proven oil reserves of the world was reported to stand
at more than 1,200 billion barrels in 2002 out of which about 750 billion
barrels existed in the Middle East which accounts for 61.9 percent of the
world’s oil reserves. Akbar Torkan pointed out that Saudi Arabia, Iran,
Kuwait, and United Arab Emirates account for nearly 55 percent of the world’s
oil reserves. The Middle East also boasts 72 percent of proven gas reserves of
the world with Iran and Qatar enjoying more that 50,000 billion cubic meters
gas reserves. Iran, alone accounts for 17 percent of the world’s proven gas
reserves.
Torkan then analyzed the political
situation in the five Middle Eastern countries that together make up 55
percent of the world’s oil reserves. Since all countries in the region, except
Iran, are somehow or another under the influence of Western countries, other
countries have accorded Iran support out of the concern about domination of
the United States and Britain over the world’s oil reserves. He pointed out to
the occupation of Iraq by the United States and the influence of U.S and
Britain over countries such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE as supplying
evidence to his claim. Thus, support for Iran does not emanate from sympathy;
rather it comes from countries that "do not want to see a single country take
control of independent oil reserves of the world."
Referring to the government’s policy on
oil reserves, he said, "Our policy is to build an economic system on the basis
of oil, but the government’s budget should not depend on oil revenues. Oil, is
the main impetus behind the attraction of foreign investment. But we must not
extract and use it up."
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At present, we are ahead of the Fourth Economic
Development Plan in terms of foreign exchange revenues resulting from
non-oil exports and agriculture but lag behind in terms of other
economic indexes. |
In this light, The Fourth Economic
Development Plan has envisaged that 80 billion dollars should be invested in
the oil industry, 57 billion dollars of which should be supplied through
foreign investment (including 21 billion dollars through finance) while 23
billion dollars should be supplied domestically. According to Torkan, 24
billion dollar will be invested in South Pars region out of the total 57
billion dollars. Moreover, "10 billion dollars will be invested in oil and gas
projects in South Pars region during the Fifth Economic Development Plan." The
managing director of Pars Oil and Gas Company added that South Pars region
accounts for 8 percent of the world’s proven gas reserves, adding that a total
of more than 30 billion dollars worth of oil projects is being carried out
throughout the country.
"There are certain risks for foreign
investment in the oil industry that cannot be controlled by us. For example,
the psychological repercussions of a possible oil embargo on Iran in the
course of the nuclear crisis have cost us dearly and we are facing major
problems for the attraction of foreign capital," he said.
Torkan added that Iran is also having
difficulties for attracting finance facilities. "Up to last year, there were
discussions about finance scheme being religiously permissible or not. Not
that permits have been issued, no foreign investors is ready to finance our
projects." He also pointed out some domestic barriers mentioning that the
implementation of projects through financial schemes "requires that 85 percent
of needed parts and equipment should be bought from the country of origin,
while this is against the policy enforced inside the country requiring that 51
percent of all projects should be carried out using domestic capabilities and
resources."
The managing director of Pars Oil and
Gas Company stated that financial methods used to fund oil industry projects
are based on either finance scheme, or buyback. "Given the said problems, we
must find new ways for funding oil industry projects. At present, there are
three specialized banks in the country, including Bank of Industry and Mine,
Bank Maskan (Housing Bank), and Bank Keshavarzi (Agriculture Bank), but there
is no such bank for the oil industry. Shares of industries and mines,
agriculture, and housing sectors of gross domestic product stood at 11.3
percent, 10.4 percent, and 4.1 percent, respectively, in 2005, but share of
oil sector stood at 27.9 percent," he noted.
Torkan went on to note that an oil
industry development bank should be established. He pointed out that Iran has
previously deposited money in foreign banks and has been rebuffed by them when
it has asked for finance. Furthermore, the interest paid on that money is less
than the floating rate. The establishment of an oil industry development bank
will provide a greater benefit to the country. The bank can participate in
shaping a finance syndicate to take part in funding international oil and gas
projects. Such an act will reduce "the investment risk of Iran’s oil and gas
sector and will provide good support for oil industry contractors."
The Prominence
of Banks: Further
in the conference, Ali Divandari, the managing director of Bank Mellat,
delivered a speech on the role of Iran’s banking system in international
finance.
He highlighted the three bases upon
which international comparisons in financial sector are usually carried out,
namely, "the study of economic development trend as well as the development of
bank and non-bank stocks; the study of economic development and market –based
financial systems as opposed to financial systems that are based on banks; and
the study of the role of macroeconomic components such as tax, on financial
structure of the country."
The official noted that capital import
and export is one of the main economic components of the modern economy.
"Capital import is currently one of the main roles played by major industrial
players in the world. Iran does not enjoy a big share of capital export and
import and there was a time that officials even despised capital imports.
There are countries that gain power through exporting capital." Divandari also
stated that banks, as financial mediators, provide industries with needed
financial resources.
"A financial system is powerful when its
banks can facilitate funding infrastructural projects…. At present, countries
are classified from the viewpoint of financial development into financially
undeveloped countries, financial developed countries based on capital market,
and developed countries based on the banking system," he said. The official
also noted that countries like Russia, Saudi Arabia, and Switzerland are major
exporters of capital in the world, emphasizing that "Iran does not have a big
share of the world’s capital market." The United States was a major importer
of capital in 2005 and accounted for 65 percent of capital attraction in the
world.
He added that if capital risk in a
country is low and all conditions are provided, the risk may slide further
down. Divandari stated that if capital importers provide security of
investment, they will succeed in attracting investments. In countries that
import capital, financial institutions are good at financial mediation and
their financial power emanates from their financial infrastructures. This is
due to the fact that efficient financial institutions and capital returns will
attract capital. At the same time, globalization of banks and financial
institutes is greatly effective in capital attraction. The situation is rather
different in Iran where banks "only play the main role in funding projects and
avail less of external opportunities because cultural and legal grounds have
been lacking."
The managing director of Bank Mellat
further mentioned that banks in the world only account for 45 percent of
industrial finance and the remaining 55 percent is undertaken by markets,
adding, "Since 1384 (2005-06) the ratio of deposits to liquidity has been 94.5
percent, while ratio of facilities to gross domestic product and the ratio of
stock trading to gross domestic product have been reported at 64 percent and
3.3 percent, respectively."
Explaining about allocation of Oil
Stabilization Fund’s facilities to Bank Mellat by the end of Shahrivar 1358
(September 22, 2006), the official noted that 1.5 billion dollars were
allocated to industries and mines and total resource allocation to Bank Mellat
stood at 1.7 billion dollars.
The Costs of
Buyback: Majid
Qasemi, the managing director of Passargad Bank, told the conference that
finance was a good method for funding projects provided it was used in the
correct manner. He mentioned that funding projects through buyback is not a
good method because it’s very costly. Referring to finance scheme, the
official noted that the measurement of risk and its management is very
important in finance and since the final cost of a buyback deal is very high,
it is not a good option.
"The financer
should be assured about the implementation of a plan and environmental issues
play a major role in this regard," he said. Qasemi stated that negotiations on
finance have not been successful thus far due to economic sanctions, adding,
"Financers consider preferential interest rates on the basis of the risk of
projects."
Ongoing
Conflicts:
The deputy chairman of the
Industries Development and Renovation Organization for Economic Affairs
discussed challenges regarding international financing of major projects and
its conflict with the law which stipulates that 51 percent of all projects
should be implemented through domestic capabilities. Davoud Mesgarian said
that the law has not made clear how the domestic part of industrial projects
is to be funded.
"General credits of oil-rich countries
are based on oil revenues and this will be ensued with a major challenge
because investment in infrastructural sectors has become a habit in such
countries," he said. The official noted that subsidized prices are common in
oil-rich countries and oil accounts for the bulk of financial resources.
"In such countries, reducing subsidies
will cause major social problems while continued payment of subsidies will
increase demand. Therefore, energy consumption growth will not match the
country’s economic growth rate," he said. Referring to a 10 percent rise in
annual power consumption against 5-6 percent economic growth rate in Iran,
Mesgarian stated that the reliance on oil revenues will expand liquidity and
inflationary pressures and will lead to forceful stabilization of prices and
subsequent increase in demand.
Therefore, there is a dire need for more
investment in the oil industry in order to boost governmental coffers. Taking
the most advantage of domestic capabilities is "the government’s policy, which
is expected to result in foreign exchange saving, reduced reliance on
borrowing, increased technological abilities, and presence of companies in
international markets," according to Mesgarian. The deputy chairman of the
Industries Development and Renovation Organization for Economic Affairs
further noted that the law for making the most of domestic potentials was
approved in 1996 but was notified in 2002.
"The law is silent about how to provide
needed credits for domestic economic sectors. The reason is lack of
consolidated policies and a policymaking supervisor. According to this law, we
want to give more latitude to domestic companies, but this is not consistent
with the attraction of inexpensive foreign capital," he said.
Mesgarian stated that permits for
selling 500 million euros of Islamic bonds had been issued by the last year’s
Budget Act, but the current year’s budget has not pointed to it. "Releasing
such bonds would require determining credit rating of companies that release
them and that should be done by independent international institutes," he
said.
The official added that granting
commercial and short-term loans is a factor that increases the cost of plans.
"The Ministry of Economic Affairs and Finance is reluctant about issuing
letters of guarantee to domestic executives and this leads to delays in the
implementation of projects," he said. He also considered the different parity
of foreign exchange used for finance as a main economic challenge faced by
Iran.
"Borrowing from other countries will
waste government’s budget, if the borrowed money is not used for production of
commodities that are not exported," he said. The official noted that reducing
the risk of investment for domestic contractors is a prerequisite for
eliminating delays in the implementation of industrial development projects in
the country. |