Although the government of Dr. Mosaddeq
did its best to nationalize oil in 1950, presence of politicians who served
foreign interests prevented establishment of machine manufacturing and other
plants.
The trend continued until the past
regime introduced its second economic development plan by spurring industrial
growth and establishment of refineries, petrochemical industry, and other
heavy industries in Iran.
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Despite our oil revenues and industrial capacities,
our industrial exports do not exceed 5-6 billion dollars a year because
our industries have been mostly developed in hardware terms. |
Since 1974, when the Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) managed to make basic changes to global
oil prices, oil revenues of its members increased and this coincided with the
fifth development plan of the former regime. Unfortunately, instead of using
oil revenues to make basic investments, that is, to establish
technology-intensive industries which would have reduced our dependence on
other countries, the Iranian officials made a dire strategic mistake and
instead of developing industries, focused on developing Chabahar port city, as
well as development of military bases and defense capabilities. In fact,
instead of helping the country to realize its national goals, oil revenues
were used by the monarchial regime to bolster its defense capabilities.
Therefore, they decided to enhance Iran’s military presence in the Indian
Ocean and established the biggest marine and submarine facilities in Chabahar.
Presence of the Iranian forces in
Lebanon and Somalia showed that instead of pursuing industrial and
technological objectives, that regime was moving to develop its defense
abilities, thus, conditions for industrial development and independence from
other countries’ downstream oil industries were not provided.
After the victory of the 1979 Islamic
Revolution, due to lack of experience among revolutionary officials and the
beginning of the Iraqi war, the Iranian oil industry was faced with many
problems. On the other hand, the country was facing limitations for oil
exports and for 8-9 years, the industry underwent unfavorable conditions.
After that during implementation of the
first through the fourth economic development plans, oil revenues served to
increase dependence of the national economy on petrodollars instead of
spurring growth of infrastructural sectors. Unfortunately, oil revenues cover
more than 60 percent of the government’s current expenditure.
The Fourth Economic Development Plan
projected total oil revenues to hit 92 billion dollars. However, Iran’s
revenues during the first 1.5 years exceeded that figure. However, neither the
Fourth Economic Development Plan is amended, nor good ground has been provided
for basic investments. Although dozens of petrochemical projects have been,
thus far, implemented, we still import the needed technology from Western
countries.
A glance at the industrialization trend
of South Korea would reveal that a country, which imports oil, is currently
one of the biggest producers of petrochemicals through establishing two
petrochemical plants and is even investing in Iran’s petrochemical sector.
Despite high oil revenues, the
government is importing more consumer goods instead of developing industrial
sectors. In practice, instead of providing good grounds for development of
software engineering in our country, the oil industry has been useful for
establishing hardware facilities. We used petrodollars to build a plant like
Azarab, but we are still dependent on other countries for technology.
Perhaps some may note that United Arab
Emirates is also living on petrodollars, but a comparison between Iran and the
UAE will reveal that Iran is the biggest country in the Middle East in terms
of population. Therefore, since industries are needed to depict a promising
future picture of the country, we should have used oil revenues for other
purposes than covering government’s current expenses. Using oil revenues, we
have increased government’s control over the economy rather than increasing
industrial capacities of the country.
At present, 80 percent of our economy is
run by the state and this is because oil revenues have not been used to plan
an industrial economy, but have boosted a state-run economic system.
For example, Turkey is weak in terms of
hardware and has no oil revenues, but its industrial exports have been valued
at more than 50 billion dollars.
Despite our oil revenues and industrial
capacities, our industrial exports do not exceed 5-6 billion dollars a year
because our industries have been mostly developed in hardware terms. Since
they are based on state-controlled resources which are used to boost
government’s power, in practice, our abilities in the oil sector are limited
to exploiting and maintaining oil wells. We should have been an independent
country in terms of technology by now, but we are still dependent on Western
technology. This is even true about industries which are involved in producing
oil derivatives. That is, we do not have even one refinery whose all parts
have been manufactured in the country independent of imported technology.
As a result, although the oil industry
can spur industrial growth of the country, due to lack of organized planning
and a national currency, those resources cannot be used to achieve industrial
independence, at least, in oil and petrochemical sectors.
Therefore, oil revenues are solely used
to cover current expenses and no future prospects are delineated for this
industry.